BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Alabama St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 86 Overall: (4-3) Overall Strength = 109.67
Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (3-2) | District: 1B-01 Record: (3-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Neutral W * * 116.09 30 17 1B 109 (3-4) Southern U. 8.53 15.94 4.47
2 09-05-2026 Home W 86.94 34 0 2 159 (0-8) Lane -20.62 * 27.59 54.62
3 09-12-2026 Away L 123.09 17 34 1A 114 (3-3) Troy 15.53 * 1.37 -32.53
4 09-26-2026 Home W * * 104.21 41 15 1B 124 (3-5) Mississippi Valley S -3.35 * 43.17 29.35
5 10-03-2026 Away L * * 99.97 10 16 1B 108 (4-3) Bethune-Cookman -7.59 -10.39 1.59
6 10-09-2026 Home L * * 103.82 27 28 1B 95 (2-5) Florida A&M -3.74 9.91 2.74
7 10-17-2026 Away W * * 118.80 21 15 1B 88 (3-3) Arkansas-Pine Bluff 11.24 -8.71 -5.24
8 10/31/2026 Neutral * * 1B 30 (6-2) Alabama A&M -16.26
9 11/07/2026 Away * * 1B 122 (1-5) Texas Southern 16.78
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 1B 66 (6-1) Jackson St -3.07
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1B 107 (3-5) Prairie View A&M 7.52
12 11/26/2026 Home 2 103 (4-3) Tuskegee 24.63
Averages 107.56 25.7 17.9
Best game: 123.09 = 17 point loss to Troy
Worst game: 86.94 = 34 point win over Lane
Team stdev: 12.58