BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Alabama St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 77 Overall: (2-1) Overall Strength = 111.88
Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (1-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (1-0)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Neutral W * * 116.93 30 17 1B 93 (2-2) Southern U. 10.09 15.94 2.91
2 09-05-2026 Home W 80.21 34 0 2 159 (0-4) Lane -26.62 * 27.59 60.62
3 09-12-2026 Away L 123.37 17 34 1A 84 (2-1) Troy 16.53 * 1.37 -33.53
4 09/26/2026 Home * * 1B 127 (1-3) Mississippi Valley S 46.83
5 10/03/2026 Away * * 1B 89 (2-1) Bethune-Cookman 0.61
6 10/10/2026 Home * * 1B 109 (1-3) Florida A&M 13.54
7 10/17/2026 Away * * 1B 108 (2-2) Arkansas-Pine Bluff 7.54
8 10/31/2026 Neutral * * 1B 59 (3-1) Alabama A&M -4.68
9 11/07/2026 Away * * 1B 107 (1-2) Texas Southern 6.18
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 1B 54 (3-0) Jackson St -3.14
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1B 55 (1-3) Prairie View A&M -2.53
12 11/26/2026 Home 2 86 (1-2) Tuskegee 20.74
Averages 106.84 27.0 17.0
Best game: 123.37 = 17 point loss to Troy
Worst game: 80.21 = 34 point win over Lane
Team stdev: 23.28